Le Mans
2-2
Lens
Le Mans – Lens
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 55 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.09 – 2.00
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Le Mans 2-2 Lens. The model predicted a win for Lens (55 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.09 goals for Le Mans and 2.00 for Lens. Bookmakers say the same thing: 59 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Le Mans took 6 points and Lens 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Le Mans | 4.88 | 19 % | +1.3 % |
| XDraw | 4.32 | 22 % | +2.9 % |
| 2Lens | 1.62 | 59 % | -10.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Le Mans
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lens
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Le Mans – Lens?
Final score: Le Mans 2-2 Lens. The model predicted a win for Lens (55 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Le Mans – Lens?
Our model gives 2 · Lens a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Le Mans win 21 %, draw 24 %, Lens win 55 %.