Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburg SV
Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburg SV
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 31, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.02 – 1.14
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Eintracht Frankfurt at home (54 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.02 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.14 for Hamburg SV. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 60 %. Over their last five matches, Eintracht Frankfurt took 7 points and Hamburg SV 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt, 1 draw, 1 win for Hamburg SV. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.57 | 60 % | -14.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.50 | 21 % | +17.0 % |
| 2Hamburg SV | 5.00 | 19 % | -1.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hamburg SV
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Hamburg SV
- Hamburg SV1-3Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt1-2Hamburg SV
- Hamburg SV1-1Eintracht Frankfurt
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburg SV?
Our model gives 1 · Eintracht Frankfurt a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Eintracht Frankfurt win 54 %, draw 26 %, Hamburg SV win 20 %.
What is the most likely score for Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburg SV?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.