US Avellino
1-1
Palermo
US Avellino – Palermo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.05 – 1.48
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: US Avellino 1-1 Palermo. The model predicted a win for Palermo (48 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.05 goals for US Avellino and 1.48 for Palermo. Bookmakers say the same thing: 48 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, US Avellino took 6 points and Palermo 15 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for US Avellino, 1 draw, 1 win for Palermo. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1US Avellino | 3.92 | 24 % | -7.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.38 | 28 % | -5.4 % |
| 2Palermo | 1.96 | 48 % | -5.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
US Avellino
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Palermo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- US Avellino
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Palermo
- Palermo2-0US Avellino
- US Avellino2-2Palermo
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of US Avellino – Palermo?
Final score: US Avellino 1-1 Palermo. The model predicted a win for Palermo (48 %): missed prediction.
Who will win US Avellino – Palermo?
Our model gives 2 · Palermo a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: US Avellino win 24 %, draw 28 %, Palermo win 48 %.