Austria Vienna
Rapid Vienna
Austria Vienna – Rapid Vienna
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 31, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.13 – 1.75
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Rapid Vienna away from home (50 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.13 goals for Austria Vienna and 1.75 for Rapid Vienna. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 56 %. Over their last five matches, Austria Vienna took 4 points and Rapid Vienna 15 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Austria Vienna, 1 draw, 1 win for Rapid Vienna. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Austria Vienna | 4.50 | 21 % | +9.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | -0.8 % |
| 2Rapid Vienna | 1.68 | 56 % | -15.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Austria Vienna
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Rapid Vienna
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Austria Vienna
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna0-2Austria Vienna
- Austria Vienna1-1Rapid Vienna
- Austria Vienna2-0Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna1-3Austria Vienna
- Austria Vienna1-2Rapid Vienna
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Austria Vienna – Rapid Vienna?
Our model gives 2 · Rapid Vienna a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Austria Vienna win 24 %, draw 25 %, Rapid Vienna win 50 %.
What is the most likely score for Austria Vienna – Rapid Vienna?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.