Kasimpasa
Besiktas
Kasimpasa – Besiktas
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 31, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.03 – 1.77
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Besiktas away from home (54 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.03 goals for Kasimpasa and 1.77 for Besiktas. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 59 %. Over their last five matches, Kasimpasa took 10 points and Besiktas 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Kasimpasa, 2 draws, 1 win for Besiktas. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kasimpasa | 5.25 | 18 % | +7.3 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | +6.8 % |
| 2Besiktas | 1.57 | 59 % | -16.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Kasimpasa
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Besiktas
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Kasimpasa
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Besiktas
- Besiktas2-1Kasimpasa
- Kasimpasa1-1Besiktas
- Kasimpasa1-1Besiktas
- Besiktas1-3Kasimpasa
- Kasimpasa2-1Besiktas
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kasimpasa – Besiktas?
Our model gives 2 · Besiktas a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kasimpasa win 20 %, draw 26 %, Besiktas win 54 %.
What is the most likely score for Kasimpasa – Besiktas?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.