Mantova
2-0
Sampdoria
Mantova – Sampdoria
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.66 – 0.98
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Mantova 2-0 Sampdoria. The model predicted a win for Mantova (49 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.66 goals for Mantova and 0.98 for Sampdoria. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 41 %. Over their last five matches, Mantova took 10 points and Sampdoria 1 point. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Mantova, 1 draw, 1 win for Sampdoria. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mantova | 2.30 | 41 % | +13.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -12.4 % |
| 2Sampdoria | 3.20 | 29 % | -27.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Mantova
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sampdoria
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Mantova
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Sampdoria
- Mantova2-1Sampdoria
- Sampdoria0-1Mantova
- Mantova2-2Sampdoria
- Sampdoria1-0Mantova
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Mantova – Sampdoria?
Final score: Mantova 2-0 Sampdoria. The model predicted a win for Mantova (49 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Mantova – Sampdoria?
Our model gives 1 · Mantova a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Mantova win 49 %, draw 28 %, Sampdoria win 23 %.