Sint-Truidense
OH Leuven
Sint-Truidense – OH Leuven
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 31, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 62 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.99 – 0.98
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Sint-Truidense at home (62 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 1.99 goals for Sint-Truidense and 0.98 for OH Leuven. Bookmakers say the same thing: 57 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sint-Truidense took 6 points and OH Leuven 6 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Sint-Truidense, 1 draw, 1 win for OH Leuven. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sint-Truidense | 1.62 | 57 % | +0.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | -13.5 % |
| 2OH Leuven | 4.70 | 20 % | -21.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sint-Truidense
- Last 5 matches
- At home
OH Leuven
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Sint-Truidense
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- OH Leuven
- Sint-Truidense1-0OH Leuven
- OH Leuven1-2Sint-Truidense
- OH Leuven3-2Sint-Truidense
- Sint-Truidense2-1OH Leuven
- Sint-Truidense1-1OH Leuven
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sint-Truidense – OH Leuven?
Our model gives 1 · Sint-Truidense a 62 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sint-Truidense win 62 %, draw 21 %, OH Leuven win 17 %.
What is the most likely score for Sint-Truidense – OH Leuven?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.