Frosinone
Torino
Frosinone – Torino
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 31, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.02 – 1.07
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Frosinone at home (56 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.02 goals for Frosinone and 1.07 for Torino. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 45 %. Over their last five matches, Frosinone took 10 points and Torino 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Frosinone, 2 draws, 0 wins for Torino. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Frosinone | 2.10 | 45 % | +17.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.77 | 25 % | -10.2 % |
| 2Torino | 3.08 | 31 % | -37.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Frosinone
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Torino
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Frosinone
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Torino
- Torino0-0Frosinone
- Frosinone0-0Torino
- Torino1-2Frosinone
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Frosinone – Torino?
Our model gives 1 · Frosinone a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Frosinone win 56 %, draw 24 %, Torino win 20 %.
What is the most likely score for Frosinone – Torino?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.