Empoli
Juve Stabia
Empoli – Juve Stabia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 31, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.13 – 1.29
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Juve Stabia away from home (36 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.13 goals for Empoli and 1.29 for Juve Stabia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 36 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Empoli took 1 point and Juve Stabia 8 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Empoli, 0 draws, 3 wins for Juve Stabia. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Empoli | 2.80 | 33 % | -9.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.00 | 31 % | -5.2 % |
| 2Juve Stabia | 2.60 | 36 % | -6.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Empoli
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Juve Stabia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Empoli
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Juve Stabia
- Empoli1-2Juve Stabia
- Juve Stabia2-0Empoli
- Juve Stabia1-0Empoli
- Empoli2-1Juve Stabia
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Empoli – Juve Stabia?
Our model gives 2 · Juve Stabia a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Empoli win 32 %, draw 32 %, Juve Stabia win 36 %.
What is the most likely score for Empoli – Juve Stabia?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.