Brann Stadium
SK Brann
Molde
SK Brann – Molde
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 31, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 2-18 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.88 – 1.82
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71 %
- Both teams to score
- 71 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards SK Brann at home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.88 goals for SK Brann and 1.82 for Molde. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 33 %. Over their last five matches, SK Brann took 6 points and Molde 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for SK Brann, 0 draws, 4 wins for Molde. Over 2.5 goals: 71 %. Both teams to score: 71 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1SK Brann | 2.85 | 33 % | +18.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | -11.4 % |
| 2Molde | 2.15 | 44 % | -22.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
SK Brann
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Molde
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- SK Brann
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Molde
- Molde1-2SK Brann
- Molde4-0SK Brann
- SK Brann0-3Molde
- Molde2-1SK Brann
- SK Brann1-3Molde
Frequently asked questions
Who will win SK Brann – Molde?
Our model gives 1 · SK Brann a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: SK Brann win 42 %, draw 22 %, Molde win 36 %.
What is the most likely score for SK Brann – Molde?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 8 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.