Predictions are closed for this match.
Hamarkameratene
05:00 PM
Sep 13
Molde
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hamarkameratene | 4.50 | 21 % | +8.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.50 | 21 % | +4.3 % |
| 2Molde | 1.64 | 58 % | -13.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Hamarkameratene
Molde
| Hamarkameratene | Form and statistics | Molde |
|---|---|---|
| 1474 | Elo | 1585 |
| 0.90 | Goals scored / match | 2.30 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded / match | 1.90 |
| 9.7 | Shots / match | 18.5 |
| 10 % | Win rate | 50 % |
| 8 | Rest days | 7 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 2 · Molde a 53 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Hamarkameratene win 24 %, draw 23 %, Molde win 53 %.
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 64 %, and both teams scoring at 62 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 4.50 for Hamarkameratene, 4.50 for the draw, 1.64 for Molde.
Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (Eliteserien), at Briskeby Stadion.
The model leans towards Molde away from home (53 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.24 goals for Hamarkameratene and 2.04 for Molde. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 58 %. Over their last five matches, Hamarkameratene took 5 points and Molde 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Hamarkameratene, 0 draws, 4 wins for Molde. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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