SK Sturm Graz
2-1
LASK Linz
SK Sturm Graz – LASK Linz
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.17 – 1.64
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: SK Sturm Graz 2-1 LASK Linz. The model predicted a win for LASK Linz (47 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.17 goals for SK Sturm Graz and 1.64 for LASK Linz. Bookmakers say the same thing: 48 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, SK Sturm Graz took 7 points and LASK Linz 9 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for SK Sturm Graz, 2 draws, 1 win for LASK Linz. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1SK Sturm Graz | 3.48 | 27 % | -4.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.77 | 25 % | -4.6 % |
| 2LASK Linz | 1.93 | 48 % | -8.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
SK Sturm Graz
- Last 5 matches
- At home
LASK Linz
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- SK Sturm Graz
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- LASK Linz
- SK Sturm Graz1-1LASK Linz
- LASK Linz1-1SK Sturm Graz
- SK Sturm Graz1-3LASK Linz
- LASK Linz0-2SK Sturm Graz
- SK Sturm Graz4-2LASK Linz
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of SK Sturm Graz – LASK Linz?
Final score: SK Sturm Graz 2-1 LASK Linz. The model predicted a win for LASK Linz (47 %): missed prediction.
Who will win SK Sturm Graz – LASK Linz?
Our model gives 2 · LASK Linz a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: SK Sturm Graz win 27 %, draw 25 %, LASK Linz win 47 %.