Malmö FF
4-1
Örgryte IS
Malmö FF – Örgryte IS
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 64 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.04 – 0.93
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Malmö FF 4-1 Örgryte IS. The model predicted a win for Malmö FF (64 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.04 goals for Malmö FF and 0.93 for Örgryte IS. Bookmakers say the same thing: 66 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Malmö FF took 7 points and Örgryte IS 2 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Malmö FF, 1 draw, 0 wins for Örgryte IS. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Malmö FF | 1.42 | 66 % | -9.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.90 | 19 % | +0.8 % |
| 2Örgryte IS | 6.50 | 14 % | +3.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Malmö FF
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Örgryte IS
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Malmö FF
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Örgryte IS
- Örgryte IS1-1Malmö FF
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Malmö FF – Örgryte IS?
Final score: Malmö FF 4-1 Örgryte IS. The model predicted a win for Malmö FF (64 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Malmö FF – Örgryte IS?
Our model gives 1 · Malmö FF a 64 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Malmö FF win 64 %, draw 21 %, Örgryte IS win 16 %.