Predictions are closed for this match.
Levante
04:15 PM
Sep 13
Barcelona
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Levante | 13.00 | 7 % | +63.3 % |
| XDraw | 8.50 | 11 % | +51.1 % |
| 2Barcelona | 1.17 | 81 % | -18.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Levante
Barcelona
| Levante | Form and statistics | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 1617 | Elo | 1941 |
| 1.50 | Goals scored / match | 3.00 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded / match | 0.90 |
| 14.4 | Shots / match | 16.5 |
| 40 % | Win rate | 80 % |
| 6 | Rest days | 3 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 2 · Barcelona a 70 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Levante win 13 %, draw 18 %, Barcelona win 70 %.
The most likely score is 0-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 65 %, and both teams scoring at 56 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 13.00 for Levante, 8.50 for the draw, 1.17 for Barcelona.
Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 04:15 PM (LaLiga), at Estadi Ciutat de València.
The model leans towards Barcelona away from home (70 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.94 goals for Levante and 2.42 for Barcelona. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 81 %. Over their last five matches, Levante took 5 points and Barcelona 15 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Levante, 0 draws, 2 wins for Barcelona. Over 2.5 goals: 65 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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