Real Valladolid
0-3
Real Oviedo
Real Valladolid – Real Oviedo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 0-113 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.04 – 1.12
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Real Valladolid 0-3 Real Oviedo. The model predicted a win for Real Oviedo (37 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.04 goals for Real Valladolid and 1.12 for Real Oviedo. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 30 %. Over their last five matches, Real Valladolid took 4 points and Real Oviedo 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Real Valladolid, 0 draws, 0 wins for Real Oviedo. Over 2.5 goals: 37 %. Both teams to score: 44 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Real Valladolid | 2.50 | 38 % | -16.9 % |
| XDraw | 2.95 | 32 % | -11.3 % |
| 2Real Oviedo | 3.10 | 30 % | +13.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Real Valladolid
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Real Oviedo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Real Valladolid
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Real Oviedo
- Real Valladolid3-0Real Oviedo
- Real Oviedo0-1Real Valladolid
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Real Valladolid – Real Oviedo?
Final score: Real Valladolid 0-3 Real Oviedo. The model predicted a win for Real Oviedo (37 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Real Valladolid – Real Oviedo?
Our model gives 2 · Real Oviedo a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Real Valladolid win 33 %, draw 30 %, Real Oviedo win 37 %.