Yokohama F. Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale
Yokohama F. Marinos – Kawasaki Frontale
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 06:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Yokohama F. Marinos at home (40 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.40 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.25 for Kawasaki Frontale. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 31 %. Over their last five matches, Yokohama F. Marinos took 7 points and Kawasaki Frontale 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Yokohama F. Marinos, 1 draw, 2 wins for Kawasaki Frontale. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Yokohama F. Marinos | 3.00 | 31 % | +19.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | +3.1 % |
| 2Kawasaki Frontale | 2.15 | 43 % | -31.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Yokohama F. Marinos
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kawasaki Frontale
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Yokohama F. Marinos
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Kawasaki Frontale
- Yokohama F. Marinos1-2Kawasaki Frontale
- Kawasaki Frontale0-5Yokohama F. Marinos
- Yokohama F. Marinos0-3Kawasaki Frontale
- Kawasaki Frontale3-3Yokohama F. Marinos
- Kawasaki Frontale1-3Yokohama F. Marinos
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos – Kawasaki Frontale?
Our model gives 1 · Yokohama F. Marinos a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Yokohama F. Marinos win 40 %, draw 28 %, Kawasaki Frontale win 32 %.
What is the most likely score for Yokohama F. Marinos – Kawasaki Frontale?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.