RB Leipzig
5-0
Hamburg SV
RB Leipzig – Hamburg SV
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 69 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.49 – 0.89
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: RB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburg SV. The model predicted a win for RB Leipzig (69 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.49 goals for RB Leipzig and 0.89 for Hamburg SV. Bookmakers say the same thing: 68 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, RB Leipzig took 6 points and Hamburg SV 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for RB Leipzig, 0 draws, 0 wins for Hamburg SV. Over 2.5 goals: 66 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1RB Leipzig | 1.38 | 68 % | -4.4 % |
| XDraw | 5.25 | 18 % | -2.6 % |
| 2Hamburg SV | 7.00 | 14 % | -14.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
RB Leipzig
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hamburg SV
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- RB Leipzig
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Hamburg SV
- Hamburg SV1-2RB Leipzig
- RB Leipzig2-1Hamburg SV
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of RB Leipzig – Hamburg SV?
Final score: RB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburg SV. The model predicted a win for RB Leipzig (69 %): correct prediction.
Who will win RB Leipzig – Hamburg SV?
Our model gives 1 · RB Leipzig a 69 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: RB Leipzig win 69 %, draw 19 %, Hamburg SV win 12 %.