Lille
2-0
Troyes
Lille – Troyes
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.77 – 0.99
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Lille 2-0 Troyes. The model predicted a win for Lille (58 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.77 goals for Lille and 0.99 for Troyes. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 63 %. Over their last five matches, Lille took 7 points and Troyes 7 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Lille, 1 draw, 0 wins for Troyes. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lille | 1.50 | 63 % | -13.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.55 | 21 % | +3.4 % |
| 2Troyes | 6.00 | 16 % | +18.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lille
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Troyes
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Lille
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Troyes
- Troyes1-1Lille
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lille – Troyes?
Final score: Lille 2-0 Troyes. The model predicted a win for Lille (58 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Lille – Troyes?
Our model gives 1 · Lille a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lille win 58 %, draw 23 %, Troyes win 20 %.