Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
Anderlecht – KVC Westerlo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.95 – 1.16
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Anderlecht at home (54 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.95 goals for Anderlecht and 1.16 for KVC Westerlo. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 60 %. Over their last five matches, Anderlecht took 9 points and KVC Westerlo 13 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Anderlecht, 1 draw, 2 wins for KVC Westerlo. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Anderlecht | 1.55 | 60 % | -16.9 % |
| XDraw | 4.50 | 21 % | +9.8 % |
| 2KVC Westerlo | 4.90 | 19 % | +7.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Anderlecht
- Last 5 matches
- At home
KVC Westerlo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Anderlecht
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- KVC Westerlo
- KVC Westerlo4-0Anderlecht
- Anderlecht5-2KVC Westerlo
- KVC Westerlo2-0Anderlecht
- Anderlecht2-2KVC Westerlo
- KVC Westerlo1-3Anderlecht
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Anderlecht – KVC Westerlo?
Our model gives 1 · Anderlecht a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Anderlecht win 54 %, draw 24 %, KVC Westerlo win 22 %.
What is the most likely score for Anderlecht – KVC Westerlo?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.