LASK Linz
WSG Swarovski Tirol
LASK Linz – WSG Swarovski Tirol
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 73 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.61 – 0.85
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards LASK Linz at home (73 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.61 goals for LASK Linz and 0.85 for WSG Swarovski Tirol. Bookmakers say the same thing: 70 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, LASK Linz took 6 points and WSG Swarovski Tirol 5 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for LASK Linz, 0 draws, 1 win for WSG Swarovski Tirol. Over 2.5 goals: 67 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1LASK Linz | 1.34 | 70 % | -1.6 % |
| XDraw | 5.50 | 17 % | -7.5 % |
| 2WSG Swarovski Tirol | 7.00 | 13 % | -31.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
LASK Linz
- Last 5 matches
- At home
WSG Swarovski Tirol
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- LASK Linz
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- WSG Swarovski Tirol
- LASK Linz1-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
- WSG Swarovski Tirol3-1LASK Linz
- WSG Swarovski Tirol1-3LASK Linz
- LASK Linz2-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
- LASK Linz2-1WSG Swarovski Tirol
Frequently asked questions
Who will win LASK Linz – WSG Swarovski Tirol?
Our model gives 1 · LASK Linz a 73 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: LASK Linz win 73 %, draw 17 %, WSG Swarovski Tirol win 10 %.
What is the most likely score for LASK Linz – WSG Swarovski Tirol?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.