Sampdoria
Virtus Entella
Sampdoria – Virtus Entella
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.27 – 1.15
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Sampdoria at home (40 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.27 goals for Sampdoria and 1.15 for Virtus Entella. Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sampdoria took 4 points and Virtus Entella 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Sampdoria, 1 draw, 1 win for Virtus Entella. Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sampdoria | 2.30 | 40 % | -8.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.00 | 31 % | -9.2 % |
| 2Virtus Entella | 3.25 | 29 % | -2.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sampdoria
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Virtus Entella
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Sampdoria
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Virtus Entella
- Sampdoria1-1Virtus Entella
- Virtus Entella3-1Sampdoria
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sampdoria – Virtus Entella?
Our model gives 1 · Sampdoria a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sampdoria win 40 %, draw 30 %, Virtus Entella win 30 %.
What is the most likely score for Sampdoria – Virtus Entella?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.