Viking FK
02:30 PM
Sep 13
Kristiansund BK
Viking FK – Kristiansund BK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.71 – 0.88
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Viking FK at home (77 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.71 goals for Viking FK and 0.88 for Kristiansund BK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 80 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Viking FK took 8 points and Kristiansund BK 7 points. In recent meetings: 5 wins for Viking FK, 0 draws, 0 wins for Kristiansund BK. Over 2.5 goals: 70 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Viking FK | 1.19 | 80 % | -8.3 % |
| XDraw | 7.50 | 13 % | +6.5 % |
| 2Kristiansund BK | 12.00 | 8 % | +5.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Viking FK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kristiansund BK
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Viking FK | Form and statistics | Kristiansund BK |
|---|---|---|
| 1751 | Elo | 1454 |
| 1.80 | Goals scored / match | 0.90 |
| 1.30 | Goals conceded / match | 1.30 |
| 13.5 | Shots / match | 13.0 |
| 50 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 5 wins
- Viking FK
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Kristiansund BK
- Kristiansund BK1-2Viking FK
- Kristiansund BK0-1Viking FK
- Viking FK3-1Kristiansund BK
- Kristiansund BK0-1Viking FK
- Viking FK2-0Kristiansund BK
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Viking FK – Kristiansund BK?
Our model gives 1 · Viking FK a 77 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Viking FK win 77 %, draw 14 %, Kristiansund BK win 9 %.
What is the most likely score for Viking FK – Kristiansund BK?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.