Standard Liege
KV Kortrijk
Standard Liege – KV Kortrijk
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.78 – 0.99
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Standard Liege at home (58 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.78 goals for Standard Liege and 0.99 for KV Kortrijk. Bookmakers say the same thing: 55 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Standard Liege took 3 points and KV Kortrijk 3 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Standard Liege, 1 draw, 3 wins for KV Kortrijk. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Standard Liege | 1.68 | 55 % | -3.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | -12.1 % |
| 2KV Kortrijk | 4.40 | 21 % | -12.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Standard Liege
- Last 5 matches
- At home
KV Kortrijk
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Standard Liege
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- KV Kortrijk
- Standard Liege1-0KV Kortrijk
- KV Kortrijk1-0Standard Liege
- Standard Liege0-1KV Kortrijk
- KV Kortrijk1-1Standard Liege
- Standard Liege0-2KV Kortrijk
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Standard Liege – KV Kortrijk?
Our model gives 1 · Standard Liege a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Standard Liege win 58 %, draw 23 %, KV Kortrijk win 20 %.
What is the most likely score for Standard Liege – KV Kortrijk?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.