West Ham United
West Bromwich Albion
West Ham United – West Bromwich Albion
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 73 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.32 – 0.87
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards West Ham United at home (73 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.32 goals for West Ham United and 0.87 for West Bromwich Albion. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 58 %. Over their last five matches, West Ham United took 8 points and West Bromwich Albion 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for West Ham United, 0 draws, 1 win for West Bromwich Albion. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1West Ham United | 1.61 | 58 % | +17.5 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | -29.9 % |
| 2West Bromwich Albion | 4.88 | 19 % | -50.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
West Ham United
- Last 5 matches
- At home
West Bromwich Albion
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- West Ham United
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- West Bromwich Albion
- West Bromwich Albion1-3West Ham United
- West Ham United2-1West Bromwich Albion
- West Ham United0-1West Bromwich Albion
Frequently asked questions
Who will win West Ham United – West Bromwich Albion?
Our model gives 1 · West Ham United a 73 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: West Ham United win 73 %, draw 17 %, West Bromwich Albion win 10 %.
What is the most likely score for West Ham United – West Bromwich Albion?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.