Swansea City
Blackburn Rovers
Swansea City – Blackburn Rovers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.60 – 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Swansea City at home (51 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.60 goals for Swansea City and 1.00 for Blackburn Rovers. Bookmakers say the same thing: 53 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Swansea City took 9 points and Blackburn Rovers 10 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Swansea City, 0 draws, 1 win for Blackburn Rovers. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Swansea City | 1.75 | 53 % | -10.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.63 | 26 % | -5.1 % |
| 2Blackburn Rovers | 4.53 | 21 % | +4.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Swansea City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Blackburn Rovers
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- Swansea City
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Blackburn Rovers
- Swansea City3-1Blackburn Rovers
- Blackburn Rovers1-2Swansea City
- Swansea City3-0Blackburn Rovers
- Blackburn Rovers1-0Swansea City
- Swansea City2-1Blackburn Rovers
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Swansea City – Blackburn Rovers?
Our model gives 1 · Swansea City a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Swansea City win 51 %, draw 26 %, Blackburn Rovers win 23 %.
What is the most likely score for Swansea City – Blackburn Rovers?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.