Heerenveen
0-0
Telstar
Heerenveen – Telstar
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.80 – 1.21
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Heerenveen 0-0 Telstar. The model predicted a win for Heerenveen (50 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.80 goals for Heerenveen and 1.21 for Telstar. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 59 %. Over their last five matches, Heerenveen took 5 points and Telstar 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Heerenveen, 0 draws, 0 wins for Telstar. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Heerenveen | 1.61 | 59 % | -19.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.45 | 21 % | +14.2 % |
| 2Telstar | 4.72 | 20 % | +14.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Heerenveen
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Telstar
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Heerenveen
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Telstar
- Heerenveen3-0Telstar
- Telstar2-3Heerenveen
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Heerenveen – Telstar?
Final score: Heerenveen 0-0 Telstar. The model predicted a win for Heerenveen (50 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Heerenveen – Telstar?
Our model gives 1 · Heerenveen a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Heerenveen win 50 %, draw 26 %, Telstar win 24 %.