Schalke 04
RB Leipzig
Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 51 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.15 – 1.87
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards RB Leipzig away from home (51 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.15 goals for Schalke 04 and 1.87 for RB Leipzig. Bookmakers say the same thing: 52 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Schalke 04 took 2 points and RB Leipzig 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Schalke 04, 0 draws, 5 wins for RB Leipzig. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Schalke 04 | 3.88 | 24 % | -10.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 24 % | +0.2 % |
| 2RB Leipzig | 1.82 | 52 % | -7.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Schalke 04
- Last 5 matches
- At home
RB Leipzig
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Schalke 04
- 0 draws
- 5 wins
- RB Leipzig
- RB Leipzig4-2Schalke 04
- Schalke 041-6RB Leipzig
- Schalke 040-3RB Leipzig
- RB Leipzig4-0Schalke 04
- Schalke 040-5RB Leipzig
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig?
Our model gives 2 · RB Leipzig a 51 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Schalke 04 win 23 %, draw 26 %, RB Leipzig win 51 %.
What is the most likely score for Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.