IF Elfsborg
1-0
Kalmar FF
IF Elfsborg – Kalmar FF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.69 – 1.04
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: IF Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar FF. The model predicted a win for IF Elfsborg (54 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.69 goals for IF Elfsborg and 1.04 for Kalmar FF. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 48 %. Over their last five matches, IF Elfsborg took 10 points and Kalmar FF 1 point. In recent meetings: 2 wins for IF Elfsborg, 0 draws, 3 wins for Kalmar FF. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1IF Elfsborg | 1.95 | 48 % | +5.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -17.8 % |
| 2Kalmar FF | 3.85 | 24 % | -15.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
IF Elfsborg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kalmar FF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- IF Elfsborg
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Kalmar FF
- Kalmar FF2-1IF Elfsborg
- Kalmar FF1-3IF Elfsborg
- IF Elfsborg1-2Kalmar FF
- IF Elfsborg0-3Kalmar FF
- Kalmar FF0-4IF Elfsborg
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of IF Elfsborg – Kalmar FF?
Final score: IF Elfsborg 1-0 Kalmar FF. The model predicted a win for IF Elfsborg (54 %): correct prediction.
Who will win IF Elfsborg – Kalmar FF?
Our model gives 1 · IF Elfsborg a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: IF Elfsborg win 54 %, draw 24 %, Kalmar FF win 22 %.