Annecy
Montpellier
Annecy – Montpellier
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.23 – 1.21
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Annecy at home (36 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.23 goals for Annecy and 1.21 for Montpellier. Bookmakers say the same thing: 32 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Annecy took 6 points and Montpellier 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Annecy, 1 draw, 1 win for Montpellier. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Annecy | 2.90 | 32 % | +4.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | +4.2 % |
| 2Montpellier | 2.30 | 41 % | -22.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Annecy
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Montpellier
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Annecy
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Montpellier
- Annecy0-0Montpellier
- Montpellier1-0Annecy
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Annecy – Montpellier?
Our model gives 1 · Annecy a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Annecy win 36 %, draw 30 %, Montpellier win 34 %.
What is the most likely score for Annecy – Montpellier?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.