Kaiserslautern
Hertha Berlin
Kaiserslautern – Hertha Berlin
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.32 – 1.44
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Hertha Berlin away from home (39 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.32 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.44 for Hertha Berlin. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Kaiserslautern took 13 points and Hertha Berlin 13 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Kaiserslautern, 0 draws, 3 wins for Hertha Berlin. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kaiserslautern | 2.90 | 32 % | -5.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 26 % | +1.8 % |
| 2Hertha Berlin | 2.25 | 42 % | -13.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Kaiserslautern
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hertha Berlin
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Kaiserslautern
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Hertha Berlin
- Hertha Berlin0-1Kaiserslautern
- Hertha Berlin6-1Kaiserslautern
- Kaiserslautern0-1Hertha Berlin
- Hertha Berlin0-1Kaiserslautern
- Kaiserslautern3-4Hertha Berlin
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kaiserslautern – Hertha Berlin?
Our model gives 2 · Hertha Berlin a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kaiserslautern win 33 %, draw 29 %, Hertha Berlin win 39 %.
What is the most likely score for Kaiserslautern – Hertha Berlin?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.