Erzurum BB
Çorum FK
Erzurum BB – Çorum FK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.28 – 1.54
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Çorum FK away from home (40 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.28 goals for Erzurum BB and 1.54 for Çorum FK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 35 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Erzurum BB took 10 points and Çorum FK 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Erzurum BB | 2.65 | 35 % | -16.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -9.8 % |
| 2Çorum FK | 2.65 | 35 % | +5.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Erzurum BB
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Çorum FK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Erzurum BB – Çorum FK?
Our model gives 2 · Çorum FK a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Erzurum BB win 31 %, draw 29 %, Çorum FK win 40 %.
What is the most likely score for Erzurum BB – Çorum FK?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.