Atlético de San Luis
Atlas
Atlético de San Luis – Atlas
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 29, 06:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.47 – 1.36
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Atlético de San Luis at home (38 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.47 goals for Atlético de San Luis and 1.36 for Atlas. Bookmakers say the same thing: 35 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Atlético de San Luis took 10 points and Atlas 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Atlético de San Luis, 0 draws, 3 wins for Atlas. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Atlético de San Luis | 2.65 | 35 % | +1.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 27 % | -4.3 % |
| 2Atlas | 2.50 | 37 % | -16.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Atlético de San Luis
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Atlas
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Atlético de San Luis
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Atlas
- Atlas3-2Atlético de San Luis
- Atlético de San Luis2-0Atlas
- Atlas3-1Atlético de San Luis
- Atlético de San Luis2-1Atlas
- Atlas2-1Atlético de San Luis
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Atlético de San Luis – Atlas?
Our model gives 1 · Atlético de San Luis a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Atlético de San Luis win 38 %, draw 28 %, Atlas win 34 %.
What is the most likely score for Atlético de San Luis – Atlas?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.