Sporting Gijón
0-1
Eldense
Sporting Gijón – Eldense
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.56 – 0.95
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sporting Gijón 0-1 Eldense. The model predicted a win for Sporting Gijón (52 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.56 goals for Sporting Gijón and 0.95 for Eldense. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 58 %. Over their last five matches, Sporting Gijón took 10 points and Eldense 2 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Sporting Gijón, 1 draw, 0 wins for Eldense. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sporting Gijón | 1.62 | 58 % | -16.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | +1.1 % |
| 2Eldense | 5.25 | 18 % | +18.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sporting Gijón
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Eldense
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Sporting Gijón
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Eldense
- Eldense1-2Sporting Gijón
- Sporting Gijón0-0Eldense
- Eldense0-1Sporting Gijón
- Sporting Gijón2-0Eldense
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sporting Gijón – Eldense?
Final score: Sporting Gijón 0-1 Eldense. The model predicted a win for Sporting Gijón (52 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Sporting Gijón – Eldense?
Our model gives 1 · Sporting Gijón a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sporting Gijón win 52 %, draw 26 %, Eldense win 23 %.