Huracán
Tigre
Huracán – Tigre
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 29, 06:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.29 – 1.02
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41 %
- Both teams to score
- 47 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Huracán at home (43 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.29 goals for Huracán and 1.02 for Tigre. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Huracán took 6 points and Tigre 1 point. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Huracán, 1 draw, 2 wins for Tigre. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Huracán | 2.15 | 43 % | -6.6 % |
| XDraw | 2.90 | 32 % | -14.7 % |
| 2Tigre | 3.80 | 25 % | +3.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Huracán
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Tigre
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Huracán
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Tigre
- Tigre1-1Huracán
- Tigre0-1Huracán
- Huracán2-0Tigre
- Huracán0-2Tigre
- Tigre1-0Huracán
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Huracán – Tigre?
Our model gives 1 · Huracán a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Huracán win 43 %, draw 29 %, Tigre win 27 %.
What is the most likely score for Huracán – Tigre?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.