Sheffield United
Wrexham
Sheffield United – Wrexham
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 29, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.38 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Sheffield United at home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.38 goals for Sheffield United and 1.18 for Wrexham. Bookmakers say the same thing: 38 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sheffield United took 7 points and Wrexham 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Sheffield United, 1 draw, 2 wins for Wrexham. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sheffield United | 2.48 | 38 % | +1.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.33 | 28 % | -6.5 % |
| 2Wrexham | 2.69 | 35 % | -16.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sheffield United
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Wrexham
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Sheffield United
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Wrexham
- Sheffield United1-2Wrexham
- Wrexham5-3Sheffield United
- Sheffield United4-2Wrexham
- Sheffield United3-1Wrexham
- Wrexham3-3Sheffield United
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sheffield United – Wrexham?
Our model gives 1 · Sheffield United a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sheffield United win 41 %, draw 28 %, Wrexham win 31 %.
What is the most likely score for Sheffield United – Wrexham?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.