Stade Laval
Boulogne
Stade Laval – Boulogne
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 29, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.24 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Stade Laval at home (36 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.24 goals for Stade Laval and 1.18 for Boulogne. Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Stade Laval took 2 points and Boulogne 6 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Stade Laval, 0 draws, 0 wins for Boulogne. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stade Laval | 2.35 | 40 % | -15.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 28 % | +0.7 % |
| 2Boulogne | 2.90 | 32 % | -3.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Stade Laval
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Boulogne
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Stade Laval
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Boulogne
- Stade Laval2-1Boulogne
- Boulogne1-2Stade Laval
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Stade Laval – Boulogne?
Our model gives 1 · Stade Laval a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Stade Laval win 36 %, draw 31 %, Boulogne win 33 %.
What is the most likely score for Stade Laval – Boulogne?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.