Rodez Aveyron
Dunkerque
Rodez Aveyron – Dunkerque
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 29, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.52 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Rodez Aveyron at home (47 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.52 goals for Rodez Aveyron and 1.18 for Dunkerque. Bookmakers say the same thing: 47 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Rodez Aveyron took 3 points and Dunkerque 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Rodez Aveyron, 3 draws, 1 win for Dunkerque. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rodez Aveyron | 2.00 | 47 % | -5.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | -0.2 % |
| 2Dunkerque | 3.25 | 29 % | -13.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Rodez Aveyron
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Dunkerque
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Rodez Aveyron
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- Dunkerque
- Dunkerque1-1Rodez Aveyron
- Rodez Aveyron1-1Dunkerque
- Rodez Aveyron5-1Dunkerque
- Dunkerque1-0Rodez Aveyron
- Rodez Aveyron0-0Dunkerque
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rodez Aveyron – Dunkerque?
Our model gives 1 · Rodez Aveyron a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rodez Aveyron win 47 %, draw 26 %, Dunkerque win 27 %.
What is the most likely score for Rodez Aveyron – Dunkerque?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.