Aspmyra Stadion
Bodo/Glimt
Viking FK
Bodo/Glimt – Viking FK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 29, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.34 – 1.30
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70 %
- Both teams to score
- 66 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Bodo/Glimt at home (60 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.34 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.30 for Viking FK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 55 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Bodo/Glimt took 9 points and Viking FK 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Bodo/Glimt, 1 draw, 2 wins for Viking FK. Over 2.5 goals: 70 %. Both teams to score: 66 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bodo/Glimt | 1.71 | 55 % | +1.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | -10.8 % |
| 2Viking FK | 4.10 | 23 % | -21.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bodo/Glimt
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Viking FK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Bodo/Glimt
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Viking FK
- Viking FK5-0Bodo/Glimt
- Viking FK2-4Bodo/Glimt
- Bodo/Glimt2-4Viking FK
- Viking FK1-1Bodo/Glimt
- Bodo/Glimt1-0Viking FK
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bodo/Glimt – Viking FK?
Our model gives 1 · Bodo/Glimt a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bodo/Glimt win 60 %, draw 21 %, Viking FK win 19 %.
What is the most likely score for Bodo/Glimt – Viking FK?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.