VfL Osnabruck
1-3
Hertha Berlin
VfL Osnabruck – Hertha Berlin
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.23 – 1.85
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: VfL Osnabruck 1-3 Hertha Berlin. The model predicted a win for Hertha Berlin (54 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.23 goals for VfL Osnabruck and 1.85 for Hertha Berlin. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 45 %. Over their last five matches, VfL Osnabruck took 6 points and Hertha Berlin 13 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for VfL Osnabruck, 0 draws, 0 wins for Hertha Berlin. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1VfL Osnabruck | 3.13 | 30 % | -29.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.77 | 25 % | -11.7 % |
| 2Hertha Berlin | 2.08 | 45 % | +11.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
VfL Osnabruck
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hertha Berlin
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- VfL Osnabruck
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Hertha Berlin
- VfL Osnabruck2-1Hertha Berlin
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of VfL Osnabruck – Hertha Berlin?
Final score: VfL Osnabruck 1-3 Hertha Berlin. The model predicted a win for Hertha Berlin (54 %): correct prediction.
Who will win VfL Osnabruck – Hertha Berlin?
Our model gives 2 · Hertha Berlin a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: VfL Osnabruck win 23 %, draw 23 %, Hertha Berlin win 54 %.