Arminia Bielefeld
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
Arminia Bielefeld – TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 29, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.74 – 1.22
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Arminia Bielefeld at home (50 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.74 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.22 for TSV Eintracht Braunschweig. Bookmakers say the same thing: 52 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Arminia Bielefeld took 7 points and TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Arminia Bielefeld, 2 draws, 0 wins for TSV Eintracht Braunschweig. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Arminia Bielefeld | 1.80 | 52 % | -10.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 24 % | -2.8 % |
| 2TSV Eintracht Braunschweig | 3.95 | 24 % | -1.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Arminia Bielefeld
- Last 5 matches
- At home
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Arminia Bielefeld
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
- Arminia Bielefeld3-2TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
- TSV Eintracht Braunschweig1-1Arminia Bielefeld
- TSV Eintracht Braunschweig3-3Arminia Bielefeld
- Arminia Bielefeld4-1TSV Eintracht Braunschweig
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arminia Bielefeld – TSV Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our model gives 1 · Arminia Bielefeld a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Arminia Bielefeld win 50 %, draw 25 %, TSV Eintracht Braunschweig win 25 %.
What is the most likely score for Arminia Bielefeld – TSV Eintracht Braunschweig?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.