Karlsruher SC
01:30 PM
Sep 13
Energie Cottbus
Karlsruher SC – Energie Cottbus
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.93 – 1.33
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63 %
- Both teams to score
- 63 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Karlsruher SC at home (49 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.93 goals for Karlsruher SC and 1.33 for Energie Cottbus. Bookmakers say the same thing: 50 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Karlsruher SC took 8 points and Energie Cottbus 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 63 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Karlsruher SC | 1.85 | 50 % | -9.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.15 | 23 % | +6.9 % |
| 2Energie Cottbus | 3.48 | 27 % | -11.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Karlsruher SC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Energie Cottbus
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Karlsruher SC | Form and statistics | Energie Cottbus |
|---|---|---|
| 1487 | Elo | 1439 |
| 1.40 | Goals scored / match | 1.44 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded / match | 3.11 |
| 13.4 | Shots / match | 13.7 |
| 30 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Karlsruher SC – Energie Cottbus?
Our model gives 1 · Karlsruher SC a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Karlsruher SC win 49 %, draw 26 %, Energie Cottbus win 26 %.
What is the most likely score for Karlsruher SC – Energie Cottbus?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
