1. FC Heidenheim 1846
1-0
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – Holstein Kiel
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.76 – 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1-0 Holstein Kiel. The model predicted a win for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (46 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.76 goals for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 and 1.25 for Holstein Kiel. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 took 9 points and Holstein Kiel 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846, 0 draws, 1 win for Holstein Kiel. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2.10 | 44 % | -3.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -6.8 % |
| 2Holstein Kiel | 3.10 | 30 % | -12.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Holstein Kiel
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Holstein Kiel
- 1. FC Heidenheim 18463-1Holstein Kiel
- Holstein Kiel1-01. FC Heidenheim 1846
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – Holstein Kiel?
Final score: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1-0 Holstein Kiel. The model predicted a win for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (46 %): correct prediction.