Sheffield United
01:00 PM
Sep 13
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Sheffield United – Wolverhampton Wanderers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:45 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 1-28 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.38 – 1.42
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Wolverhampton Wanderers away from home (38 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.38 goals for Sheffield United and 1.42 for Wolverhampton Wanderers. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 44 %. Over their last five matches, Sheffield United took 10 points and Wolverhampton Wanderers 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Sheffield United, 0 draws, 1 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sheffield United | 3.33 | 28 % | +15.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.42 | 27 % | -5.8 % |
| 2Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2.13 | 44 % | -19.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Sheffield United
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Sheffield United | Form and statistics | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| 1509 | Elo | 1541 |
| 1.70 | Goals scored / match | 2.00 |
| 1.30 | Goals conceded / match | 1.50 |
| 12.0 | Shots / match | 13.9 |
| 50 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Sheffield United
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Wolverhampton Wanderers1-0Sheffield United
- Sheffield United2-1Wolverhampton Wanderers
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sheffield United – Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Our model gives 2 · Wolverhampton Wanderers a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sheffield United win 35 %, draw 28 %, Wolverhampton Wanderers win 38 %.
What is the most likely score for Sheffield United – Wolverhampton Wanderers?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 8 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
