Académico de Viseu
2-1
Vitória de Guimaraes
Académico de Viseu – Vitória de Guimaraes
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.02 – 1.36
The short version
Final score: Académico de Viseu 2-1 Vitória de Guimaraes. The model predicted a win for Vitória de Guimaraes (45 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.02 goals for Académico de Viseu and 1.36 for Vitória de Guimaraes. Bookmakers say the same thing: 45 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Académico de Viseu took 5 points and Vitória de Guimaraes 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Académico de Viseu | 3.58 | 26 % | -1.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.27 | 29 % | -8.1 % |
| 2Vitória de Guimaraes | 2.08 | 45 % | -7.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Académico de Viseu
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Vitória de Guimaraes
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Académico de Viseu – Vitória de Guimaraes?
Final score: Académico de Viseu 2-1 Vitória de Guimaraes. The model predicted a win for Vitória de Guimaraes (45 %): missed prediction.