Córdoba
0-2
Almería
Córdoba – Almería
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.41 – 1.34
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Córdoba 0-2 Almería. The model predicted a win for Córdoba (38 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.41 goals for Córdoba and 1.34 for Almería. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Córdoba took 4 points and Almería 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Córdoba, 1 draw, 3 wins for Almería. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Córdoba | 2.55 | 37 % | -3.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -7.4 % |
| 2Almería | 2.65 | 36 % | -5.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Córdoba
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Almería
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Córdoba
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Almería
- Almería2-1Córdoba
- Córdoba1-1Almería
- Córdoba0-3Almería
- Almería4-0Córdoba
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Córdoba – Almería?
Final score: Córdoba 0-2 Almería. The model predicted a win for Córdoba (38 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Córdoba – Almería?
Our model gives 1 · Córdoba a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Córdoba win 38 %, draw 26 %, Almería win 36 %.