Sunderland
0-2
Arsenal
Sunderland – Arsenal
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 0-113 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.88 – 1.67
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal. The model predicted a win for Arsenal (58 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.88 goals for Sunderland and 1.67 for Arsenal. Bookmakers say the same thing: 59 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sunderland took 10 points and Arsenal 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Sunderland, 1 draw, 1 win for Arsenal. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sunderland | 6.00 | 16 % | +6.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.67 | 26 % | -10.2 % |
| 2Arsenal | 1.61 | 59 % | -7.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sunderland
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Arsenal
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Sunderland
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Arsenal
- Arsenal3-0Sunderland
- Sunderland2-2Arsenal
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sunderland – Arsenal?
Final score: Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal. The model predicted a win for Arsenal (58 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Sunderland – Arsenal?
Our model gives 2 · Arsenal a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sunderland win 18 %, draw 24 %, Arsenal win 58 %.