Union St.-Gilloise
5-0
Lommel SK
Union St.-Gilloise – Lommel SK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 78 %
- Most likely score
- 2-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.37 – 0.71
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Union St.-Gilloise 5-0 Lommel SK. The model predicted a win for Union St.-Gilloise (78 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.37 goals for Union St.-Gilloise and 0.71 for Lommel SK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 75 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Union St.-Gilloise took 10 points and Lommel SK 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Union St.-Gilloise | 1.25 | 75 % | -2.8 % |
| XDraw | 6.00 | 16 % | -7.7 % |
| 2Lommel SK | 10.00 | 9 % | -31.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Union St.-Gilloise
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lommel SK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Union St.-Gilloise – Lommel SK?
Final score: Union St.-Gilloise 5-0 Lommel SK. The model predicted a win for Union St.-Gilloise (78 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Union St.-Gilloise – Lommel SK?
Our model gives 1 · Union St.-Gilloise a 78 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Union St.-Gilloise win 78 %, draw 15 %, Lommel SK win 7 %.