Paris FC
0-0
Lyon
Paris FC – Lyon
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 1.26
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Paris FC 0-0 Lyon. The model predicted a win for Paris FC (40 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Paris FC and 1.26 for Lyon. Bookmakers say the same thing: 38 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Paris FC took 10 points and Lyon 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Paris FC, 2 draws, 0 wins for Lyon. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Paris FC | 2.50 | 38 % | -1.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 27 % | -1.9 % |
| 2Lyon | 2.66 | 36 % | -12.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Paris FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lyon
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Paris FC
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- Lyon
- Lyon1-1Paris FC
- Paris FC3-3Lyon
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Paris FC – Lyon?
Final score: Paris FC 0-0 Lyon. The model predicted a win for Paris FC (40 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Paris FC – Lyon?
Our model gives 1 · Paris FC a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Paris FC win 40 %, draw 28 %, Lyon win 33 %.