Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense – Internacional
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 27, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 55 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.66 – 0.95
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Fluminense at home (55 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.66 goals for Fluminense and 0.95 for Internacional. Bookmakers say the same thing: 51 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Fluminense took 3 points and Internacional 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Fluminense, 1 draw, 2 wins for Internacional. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fluminense | 1.83 | 51 % | +0.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 26 % | -7.7 % |
| 2Internacional | 4.10 | 23 % | -21.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Fluminense
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Internacional
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Fluminense
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Internacional
- Internacional2-0Fluminense
- Fluminense1-0Internacional
- Internacional0-2Fluminense
- Internacional2-0Fluminense
- Fluminense1-1Internacional
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fluminense – Internacional?
Our model gives 1 · Fluminense a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Fluminense win 55 %, draw 26 %, Internacional win 19 %.
What is the most likely score for Fluminense – Internacional?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.