Heart of Midlothian
Rangers
Heart of Midlothian – Rangers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 27, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 2-18 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.48 – 1.44
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Heart of Midlothian at home (38 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.48 goals for Heart of Midlothian and 1.44 for Rangers. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 29 %. Over their last five matches, Heart of Midlothian took 7 points and Rangers 13 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Heart of Midlothian, 0 draws, 2 wins for Rangers. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Heart of Midlothian | 3.17 | 29 % | +19.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -5.7 % |
| 2Rangers | 2.08 | 45 % | -24.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Heart of Midlothian
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Rangers
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Heart of Midlothian
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Rangers
- Heart of Midlothian2-1Rangers
- Rangers4-2Heart of Midlothian
- Heart of Midlothian2-1Rangers
- Rangers0-2Heart of Midlothian
- Heart of Midlothian1-3Rangers
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Heart of Midlothian – Rangers?
Our model gives 1 · Heart of Midlothian a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Heart of Midlothian win 38 %, draw 26 %, Rangers win 36 %.
What is the most likely score for Heart of Midlothian – Rangers?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 8 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.